Estonian Defence Intelligence: Ukraine’s Armed Forces inflict heavy losses on Russia near Avdiivka

Fighting in Avdiivka, photo by Anadolu Agency via Getty Images

The Estonian Defence Forces Intelligence Centre said that the Russian Federation will continue to maintain the intensity of hostilities in the coming weeks in order to capture Avdiivka in Donetsk Oblast by the end of the year.

Source: Report of the Estonian Defence Intelligence on the course of the war of the Russian Federation against Ukraine, reports European Pravda with reference to ERR.

Details: According to the agency, the forces of the Russian Federation, at the cost of heavy losses, achieved some successes in the vicinity of Avdiivka, which was facilitated by relatively dry weather, but the Armed Forces of Ukraine resisted in an organised manner on the defence line.

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It is noted that for the most part, the Ukrainian army held positions thanks to long-range means of destruction in the form of drones and artillery, as well as minefields, thanks to which the losses of the Russian Armed Forces in technology are comparable to those of previous weeks.

In addition, Estonian analysts suggest that Russian troops will increase pressure on the Kupiansk-Lyman line, as they try to achieve a result that could be demonstrated as a significant success.

Intelligence services indicate that in this way the Russian Federation could find justification for the continuation of aggression and the need for a complete capture of Luhansk and Donetsk oblasts to ensure a land corridor to Crimea. In addition, Russian troops are trying to pin down the Armed Forces of Ukraine in order to reduce their pressure on other sectors of the front.

The summary also states that Ukrainian defenders continue to conduct raids in Kherson Oblast in order to create new bridgeheads on the left bank of the Dnipro river, where low clouds and fogs play into their hand during the crossing of the river. Meanwhile, the Russian Federation in this area compensates for the weakness of its ground forces by intensifying air attacks.

Earlier, the UK Defence Intelligence reported that neither Ukrainian nor Russian forces can break through the contact line in Ukraine due to the solid air defences of both sides and the long contact line that must be held.

In the area of Avdiivka, a large-scale Russian offensive was met with a powerful Ukrainian defence.

Valerii Zaluzhnyi, Commander-in-Chief of Ukraine’s Armed Forces, believes that the war with Russia is moving to a new stage: “positional” warfare with static and attritional fighting. To win, Ukraine needs advanced technologies.

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